BE PREPARED to see (and purchase) new modes of transportation in the new future. In the old future we expected to be zipping around in anti-gravity vehicles and air-borne jet skis like George Jetson or Luke Skywalker. The new future is not shaping up that way.
This new bright blue baby is an ordinary conventional bicycle modified with a simple bolt on kit. The DIY kits range in price from $200 to $6oo and can be built in an afternoon. Complete custom motorized bikes can be be had for about $1,ooo. These are EPA approved 2 cycle motors of 68cc to 88cc generating 5 or 6 horsepower. They will attain speeds of 30 to 40 mph and one gallon of gasoline will take you anywhere from 70 miles and up to 150 miles. These bikes still use gasoline but far less than the Lincoln Navigator and the other SUVs that have ruled the road for the past decade. Expect to see more of them in the new future.
The era of cheap oil is over. Are you making any preperation for your future transportation needs? The International Energy Association claims crude oil output peaked in 2006. “All the easy oil and gas in the world has pretty much been found. Now comes the harder work in finding and producing oil from more challenging environments and work areas” according to William J. Cummings, Exxon-Mobil’s official spokesman. Lord Ron Oxburgh, former CEO of Shell Oil says, ” It is pretty clear that there is not much chance of finding any significant quantity of new cheap oil. Any new or unconventional oil is going to be expensive”.
Some would have you believe that peak oil was a myth and is no longer a concern now that new types of oil are available in the Athabasca Oil Sands of western Canada, the Green River Shale Formation in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming plus the Orinoco Belt of Venezuela. Joe Carroll wrote this headline for the Bloomberg news service on Feb. 6th 2012 ” Peak Oil Scare Fades as Shale, Deepwater Wells Gush Crude“. He goes on to say “Two decades and four energy crises later, the U.S. Geological Survey estimates that more than 2 trillion barrels of untouched crude is still locked in the ground, enough to last more than 70 years at current rates of consumption”. Whoopie! problem solved, 70 years worth of oil. Tell that to your grandchildren. Oh by the way what is the projected rate of consumption when considering the developing economies of China, India and others?
Back to the blue bicycle. When you first see one of these gasoline assisted bikes the first thought is Hey whatsamatta, to lazy to peddle? This is not a recreational vehicle. These people where probably driving a truck or car just like you or I a short time ago. The high cost of insurance, maintenance and fuel is forcing people to make sacrifices that they had not counted on or volunteered for. Getting sweated up and out of breath peddling on the way to work in office clothes or making that five mile distance to the grocery store is one more sacrifice they would rather avoid – for now.
Obviously this mode of transportation is not for everybody or will it work everywhere. First of all over 30% of the population is overweight and obese. Ain’t gonna happen. Others are old and frail. Not for them. Parts of the country are cold and snowy for 3 to 5 months out of the year. Might get a few months of use during the summer if it’s not raining. I do predict that you will start seeing many more of these gas powered bicycles though in the near new future. For some it will be a choice, for others it will be the best alternative.
The point of all this is that you should start thinking now. That old F150 or minivan might still have a couple years of life in it yet. What are you going to purchase for your next vehicle? If you live in Wyoming or west Texas and have to drive 20 or 30 miles for supplies how are future gas prices going to affect your family? The thousands of commuters that drive over an hour to work each day what does your future look like? Tomorrow will be here soon. Think about it now. Start making some sort of transportation preparation plan.